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Florida
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–2 · 30th of 138
Rated +11.7 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +4.6 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.5–5.5 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.6–5.4 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.2115th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1390th of 138
Success rate46.9%20th of 138
Success allowed42.8%87th of 138
Explosiveness0.9455th of 138
Defensive havoc18.4%30th of 138
3rd down45.8%35th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.1762nd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs FAU | Sep 5 | W 66–21 | +20.4 | — |
2 vs Campbell | Sep 12 | W 52–3 | +48.0 | — |
3 at Auburn | Sep 19 | W 44–39 | -2.1 | — |
4 vs Ole Miss | Sep 26 | W 52–28 | -1.1 | — |
5 at Missouri | Oct 3 | L 17–45 | +2.3 | — |
6 vs South Carolina | Oct 10 | L 19–38 | +5.7 | — |
7 at Texas | Oct 17 | proj 20–34 | -13.5 | 20% |
9 vs Georgia | Oct 31 | proj 21–37 | -15.9 | 16% |
10 vs Oklahoma | Nov 7 | proj 24–26 | -1.4 | 46% |
11 at Kentucky | Nov 14 | proj 28–31 | -2.9 | 43% |
12 vs Vanderbilt | Nov 21 | proj 34–25 | +9.4 | 72% |
13 at Florida St | Nov 27 | proj 30–28 | +1.8 | 55% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.