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Vanderbilt
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET

3–3 · 52nd of 138
Rated +5.2 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +1.4 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 4.9–7.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 4.3–7.7 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.04111th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1280th of 138
Success rate38.7%107th of 138
Success allowed42.5%83rd of 138
Explosiveness0.9366th of 138
Defensive havoc15.2%83rd of 138
3rd down37.6%87th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.50106th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | W 28–9 | +51.0 | — |
| 2 | Sep 12 | W 35–26 | +22.7 | — |
| 3 | Sep 19 | W 35–31 | +5.6 | — |
| 4 | Sep 26 | L 15–21 | -3.8 | — |
| 5 | Oct 3 | L 14–38 | -21.3 | — |
| 6 | Oct 10 | L 17–52 | -2.9 | — |
| 7 | Oct 17 | proj 30–24 | +6.1 | 65% |
| 8 | Oct 24 | proj 23–32 | -9.4 | 28% |
| 10 | Nov 7 | proj 25–36 | -10.1 | 26% |
| 11 | Nov 14 | proj 18–39 | -21.1 | 9% |
| 12 | Nov 21 | proj 25–34 | -9.4 | 28% |
| 13 | Nov 28 | proj 25–32 | -7.0 | 33% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.