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Alabama
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
5–1 · 1st of 138
Rated +29.1 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +3.3 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 10.1–1.9 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 10.2–2.3 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.264th of 138
Defense EPA/play-0.053rd of 138
Success rate49.1%6th of 138
Success allowed33.7%2nd of 138
Explosiveness0.9614th of 138
Defensive havoc19.6%22nd of 138
3rd down48.6%24th of 138
Turnover margin/g+1.1710th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs East Carolina | Sep 5 | W 48–10 | +17.8 | — |
2 at Kentucky | Sep 12 | W 45–17 | +16.6 | — |
3 vs Florida St | Sep 19 | W 50–36 | +19.7 | — |
4 vs South Carolina | Sep 26 | W 49–18 | +18.0 | — |
5 at Mississippi St | Oct 3 | W 56–23 | +7.2 | — |
6 vs Georgia | Oct 10 | L 17–20 | +6.6 | — |
7 at Tennessee | Oct 17 | proj 35–23 | +11.3 | 76% |
8 vs Texas A&M | Oct 24 | proj 37–18 | +18.7 | 88% |
10 at LSU | Nov 7 | proj 31–25 | +6.0 | 65% |
11 at Vanderbilt | Nov 14 | proj 39–18 | +21.1 | 91% |
12 vs Chattanooga | Nov 21 | proj 65–2 | +62.4 | 100% |
13 vs Auburn | Nov 28 | proj 36–16 | +20.1 | 90% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.