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East Carolina
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
3–3 · 83rd of 138
Rated -3.8 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -1.5 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.4–5.6 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.2–5.8 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.05108th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0535th of 138
Success rate37.3%123rd of 138
Success allowed39.6%34th of 138
Explosiveness0.9360th of 138
Defensive havoc21.2%10th of 138
3rd down31.3%123rd of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.3392nd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Alabama | Sep 5 | L 10–48 | -17.8 | — |
2 vs App State | Sep 12 | L 24–27 | +12.2 | — |
3 at Old Dominion | Sep 19 | W 20–17 | -3.3 | — |
4 vs NC Central | Sep 26 | W 42–9 | +37.5 | — |
6 vs Rice | Oct 10 | W 28–12 | +13.9 | — |
7 at UAB | Oct 15 | L 17–30 | +10.6 | — |
8 at Memphis | Oct 22 | proj 22–32 | -10.2 | 26% |
9 vs Temple | Oct 31 | proj 29–22 | +7.0 | 67% |
10 vs South Florida | Nov 6 | proj 25–26 | -0.4 | 49% |
11 at Charlotte | Nov 14 | proj 35–16 | +19.5 | 89% |
12 at Army | Nov 21 | proj 21–26 | -4.5 | 39% |
13 vs FAU | Nov 27 | proj 33–25 | +7.5 | 68% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.