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South Florida
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–2 · 70th of 138
Rated -0.4 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +0.0 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.0–4.0 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 7.8–4.3 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0789th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0642nd of 138
Success rate42.9%49th of 138
Success allowed42.6%84th of 138
Explosiveness0.92102nd of 138
Defensive havoc15.1%84th of 138
3rd down42.4%60th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.3347th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs FIU | Sep 5 | W 19–9 | +21.7 | — |
2 at Army | Sep 12 | W 28–24 | +4.2 | — |
3 vs Delaware St | Sep 19 | W 59–17 | +45.5 | — |
4 at Bowling Green | Sep 26 | W 14–6 | +27.2 | — |
5 vs Temple | Oct 3 | L 13–17 | +14.6 | — |
6 at UTSA | Oct 8 | L 24–31 | +0.0 | — |
7 vs Kent State | Oct 17 | proj 39–12 | +26.6 | 95% |
9 vs UAB | Oct 31 | proj 34–18 | +15.6 | 84% |
10 at East Carolina | Nov 6 | proj 26–25 | +0.4 | 51% |
11 vs Memphis | Nov 12 | proj 28–29 | -1.1 | 47% |
12 at FAU | Nov 21 | proj 32–27 | +5.1 | 63% |
13 vs Tulane | Nov 27 | proj 26–21 | +5.5 | 64% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.