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UAB
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
4–3 · 114th of 138
Rated -13.1 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -0.3 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 5.7–6.3 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 5.6–6.4 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.00129th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0856th of 138
Success rate40.5%82nd of 138
Success allowed44.3%103rd of 138
Explosiveness0.9364th of 138
Defensive havoc15.5%78th of 138
3rd down41.9%64th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.0070th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Illinois | Sep 3 | L 23–42 | -25.4 | — |
2 vs UL Monroe | Sep 12 | W 26–20 | +13.2 | — |
3 at Louisiana | Sep 19 | L 14–21 | -12.1 | — |
4 vs Navy | Sep 25 | W 24–20 | -7.8 | — |
5 vs Samford | Oct 3 | W 33–14 | +27.2 | — |
6 at Memphis | Oct 10 | L 13–38 | -20.7 | — |
7 vs East Carolina | Oct 15 | W 30–17 | -10.6 | — |
9 at South Florida | Oct 31 | proj 18–34 | -15.6 | 16% |
10 vs Charlotte | Nov 7 | proj 34–18 | +15.9 | 84% |
11 at Temple | Nov 14 | proj 22–30 | -8.1 | 30% |
12 vs UTSA | Nov 21 | proj 23–32 | -8.9 | 29% |
13 at North Texas | Nov 28 | proj 22–43 | -21.0 | 9% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.