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UL Monroe

Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET

0–5 · 135th of 138
Rated -24.1 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +2.1 vs the average game

Projected Record

SourceW–LHow
GordStats1.3–10.7Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left
ESPN FPI1.1–10.9ESPN's simulation of the full schedule

Advanced

Offense EPA/play+0.05102nd of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.23133rd of 138
Success rate38.5%110th of 138
Success allowed47.9%134th of 138
Explosiveness0.9299th of 138
Defensive havoc10.8%134th of 138
3rd down31.4%121st of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.60109th of 138

Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.

Schedule

OpponentDateResultExpectedWin
1at Mississippi StSep 5L 13–62-25.6—
2at UABSep 12L 20–26-13.2—
3vs SE LouisianaSep 19L 35–38+16.2—
4vs FAUSep 26L 17–45-9.0—
5at South AlabamaOct 3L 35–52-16.8—
7vs Louisiana TechOct 17proj 20–38-17.414%
8at TroyOct 24proj 17–36-18.912%
9vs Southern MissOct 31proj 25–33-8.530%
10at Arkansas StNov 7proj 20–36-16.315%
11vs LouisianaNov 12proj 19–34-15.017%
12at App StateNov 21proj 18–35-17.114%
13vs MarshallNov 28proj 25–32-6.634%

Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.