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Louisiana
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–2 · 91st of 138
Rated -6.2 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -0.9 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.8–4.2 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.1–4.1 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1163rd of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0641st of 138
Success rate39.7%98th of 138
Success allowed41.8%70th of 138
Explosiveness0.9534th of 138
Defensive havoc17.5%40th of 138
3rd down37.7%86th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.3345th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Lamar | Sep 5 | W 38–7 | +27.0 | — |
2 at USC | Sep 12 | L 30–49 | -27.7 | — |
3 vs UAB | Sep 19 | W 21–14 | +12.1 | — |
4 at Charlotte | Sep 26 | W 34–7 | +8.4 | — |
5 vs Arkansas St | Oct 3 | W 23–20 | +6.2 | — |
6 at Louisiana Tech | Oct 10 | L 31–32 | -5.8 | — |
7 vs Troy | Oct 17 | proj 27–23 | +4.7 | 62% |
8 at Southern Miss | Oct 24 | proj 29–26 | +3.6 | 59% |
10 vs South Alabama | Nov 7 | proj 34–27 | +6.2 | 65% |
11 at UL Monroe | Nov 12 | proj 34–19 | +15.0 | 83% |
12 vs Coastal | Nov 21 | proj 31–20 | +10.8 | 75% |
13 at Georgia St | Nov 28 | proj 25–30 | -4.5 | 39% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.