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South Alabama
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–2 · 101st of 138
Rated -9.5 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +9.5 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.0–5.0 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 7.4–4.9 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1826th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.23132nd of 138
Success rate41.9%60th of 138
Success allowed49.6%137th of 138
Explosiveness0.977th of 138
Defensive havoc16.8%52nd of 138
3rd down44.2%46th of 138
Turnover margin/g+1.335th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs SE Louisiana | Sep 5 | W 39–14 | +26.9 | — |
2 at Tulane | Sep 12 | L 24–28 | -17.4 | — |
3 vs Ohio | Sep 19 | W 41–36 | +4.0 | — |
4 at Kentucky | Sep 26 | L 21–45 | -14.8 | — |
5 vs UL Monroe | Oct 3 | W 52–35 | +16.8 | — |
6 at Arkansas St | Oct 8 | W 56–49 | -2.5 | — |
8 at Marshall | Oct 20 | proj 33–31 | +2.2 | 56% |
9 vs Louisiana Tech | Oct 31 | proj 31–34 | -2.8 | 43% |
10 at Louisiana | Nov 7 | proj 27–34 | -6.2 | 35% |
11 vs Troy | Nov 14 | proj 31–29 | +1.5 | 54% |
12 at Southern Miss | Nov 21 | proj 33–33 | +0.3 | 51% |
13 vs App State | Nov 27 | proj 32–29 | +3.3 | 58% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.