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Kentucky
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
5–1 · 28th of 138
Rated +11.7 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +1.3 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.9–4.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 7.9–4.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1542nd of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0323rd of 138
Success rate48.1%10th of 138
Success allowed41.9%72nd of 138
Explosiveness0.9458th of 138
Defensive havoc17.8%35th of 138
3rd down26.9%135th of 138
Turnover margin/g+1.1711th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Youngstown St | Sep 5 | W 45–13 | +37.0 | — |
2 vs Alabama | Sep 12 | L 17–45 | -16.6 | — |
3 at Texas A&M | Sep 19 | W 31–21 | -26.6 | — |
4 vs South Alabama | Sep 26 | W 45–21 | +14.8 | — |
5 at South Carolina | Oct 3 | W 35–34 | -2.0 | — |
6 vs LSU | Oct 10 | W 35–34 | -5.0 | — |
7 at Oklahoma | Oct 17 | proj 20–27 | -7.1 | 33% |
8 vs Vanderbilt | Oct 24 | proj 32–23 | +9.4 | 72% |
10 at Tennessee | Nov 7 | proj 25–31 | -6.2 | 35% |
11 vs Florida | Nov 14 | proj 31–28 | +2.9 | 57% |
12 at Missouri | Nov 21 | proj 23–30 | -6.4 | 34% |
13 vs Louisville | Nov 28 | proj 31–28 | +2.9 | 57% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.