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Missouri
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET

5–1 · 17th of 138
Rated +15.2 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -1.3 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.9–4.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 7.9–4.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1540th of 138
Defense EPA/play-0.019th of 138
Success rate40.6%79th of 138
Success allowed34.8%7th of 138
Explosiveness0.9535th of 138
Defensive havoc21.7%4th of 138
3rd down42.7%57th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.8321st of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | W 54–14 | +45.3 | — |
| 2 | Sep 11 | W 38–21 | +3.6 | — |
| 3 | Sep 19 | W 27–17 | +27.4 | — |
| 4 | Sep 26 | L 24–31 | -4.3 | — |
| 5 | Oct 3 | W 45–17 | -2.3 | — |
| 6 | Oct 10 | W 27–6 | +1.2 | — |
| 7 | Oct 17 | proj 25–31 | -6.2 | 35% |
| 9 | Oct 31 | proj 31–20 | +10.4 | 74% |
| 10 | Nov 7 | proj 22–26 | -4.2 | 40% |
| 11 | Nov 14 | proj 19–34 | -14.8 | 17% |
| 12 | Nov 21 | proj 30–23 | +6.4 | 66% |
| 13 | Nov 28 | proj 23–21 | +2.2 | 55% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.