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Arkansas
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
2–4 · 63rd of 138
Rated +2.0 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +0.0 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 3.4–8.6 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 3.3–8.7 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0696th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1496th of 138
Success rate41.5%66th of 138
Success allowed43.3%90th of 138
Explosiveness0.91113th of 138
Defensive havoc13.2%112th of 138
3rd down41.0%69th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.1782nd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs North Alabama | Sep 5 | W 31–14 | +40.2 | — |
2 at Utah | Sep 12 | L 10–43 | -19.0 | — |
3 vs Georgia | Sep 19 | L 17–45 | -17.3 | — |
4 vs Tulsa | Sep 26 | W 34–6 | +10.3 | — |
5 at Texas A&M | Oct 3 | L 7–34 | -16.3 | — |
6 vs Tennessee | Oct 10 | L 17–24 | -11.5 | — |
7 at Vanderbilt | Oct 17 | proj 24–30 | -6.1 | 35% |
9 vs Missouri | Oct 31 | proj 20–31 | -10.4 | 26% |
10 at Auburn | Nov 7 | proj 18–31 | -12.9 | 21% |
11 vs South Carolina | Nov 14 | proj 23–31 | -7.7 | 31% |
12 at Texas | Nov 21 | proj 13–36 | -23.3 | 7% |
13 vs LSU | Nov 28 | proj 19–34 | -15.4 | 17% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.