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Tulsa
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
3–3 · 95th of 138
Rated -7.8 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -0.6 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.1–5.9 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.5–5.5 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0973rd of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0854th of 138
Success rate37.3%124th of 138
Success allowed40.6%53rd of 138
Explosiveness0.9616th of 138
Defensive havoc13.0%116th of 138
3rd down28.4%132nd of 138
Turnover margin/g+1.674th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Oklahoma St | Sep 5 | W 24–10 | +0.8 | — |
2 at Sam Houston | Sep 12 | W 23–17 | +1.9 | — |
3 vs East Texas A&M | Sep 19 | W 42–0 | +26.1 | — |
4 at Arkansas | Sep 26 | L 6–34 | -10.3 | — |
5 vs North Texas | Oct 1 | L 44–45 | -10.4 | — |
6 at Navy | Oct 10 | L 26–34 | -3.9 | — |
7 at Rice | Oct 17 | proj 25–22 | +2.8 | 57% |
8 vs Army | Oct 23 | proj 22–25 | -2.8 | 43% |
10 at Tulane | Nov 7 | proj 19–27 | -7.7 | 31% |
11 vs FAU | Nov 14 | proj 31–28 | +3.5 | 59% |
12 vs Charlotte | Nov 21 | proj 37–16 | +21.2 | 91% |
13 at UTSA | Nov 28 | proj 23–32 | -9.4 | 28% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.