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Navy
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
2–3 · 81st of 138
Rated -3.4 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -1.2 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 5.2–6.8 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 4.8–7.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1254th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0963rd of 138
Success rate43.4%45th of 138
Success allowed37.3%19th of 138
Explosiveness0.9536th of 138
Defensive havoc13.1%115th of 138
3rd down43.3%53rd of 138
Turnover margin/g-1.20134th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Towson | Sep 5 | W 42–15 | +36.6 | — |
2 at FAU | Sep 12 | L 30–38 | +9.3 | — |
4 at UAB | Sep 25 | L 20–24 | +7.8 | — |
5 at Air Force | Oct 3 | L 9–14 | -1.8 | — |
6 vs Tulsa | Oct 10 | W 34–26 | +3.9 | — |
7 at UTSA | Oct 17 | proj 25–30 | -4.9 | 38% |
8 vs North Texas | Oct 24 | proj 29–34 | -5.5 | 36% |
9 vs Notre Dame | Oct 31 | proj 12–43 | -30.9 | 3% |
10 vs Temple | Nov 7 | proj 29–22 | +7.3 | 68% |
12 vs Memphis | Nov 21 | proj 26–30 | -4.0 | 40% |
13 at Charlotte | Nov 28 | proj 36–16 | +19.8 | 90% |
15 vs Army | Dec 12 | proj 23–24 | -1.7 | 46% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.