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Air Force
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
4–1 · 93rd of 138
Rated -7.0 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -0.9 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.7–4.3 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.3–3.9 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1539th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0855th of 138
Success rate47.0%18th of 138
Success allowed39.7%35th of 138
Explosiveness0.9284th of 138
Defensive havoc14.2%96th of 138
3rd down53.8%8th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.2055th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Duquesne | Sep 5 | W 34–0 | +28.3 | — |
2 vs N Dakota St | Sep 12 | L 32–38 | -9.6 | — |
4 at Nevada | Sep 26 | W 36–33 | +5.4 | — |
5 vs Navy | Oct 3 | W 14–9 | +1.8 | — |
6 at N Illinois | Oct 10 | W 28–7 | +5.1 | — |
7 vs UNLV | Oct 17 | proj 25–26 | -0.8 | 48% |
8 at Wyoming | Oct 23 | proj 24–17 | +7.4 | 68% |
9 vs UConn | Oct 31 | proj 26–30 | -4.0 | 40% |
10 at Army | Nov 7 | proj 20–28 | -7.7 | 31% |
11 vs San José St | Nov 14 | proj 31–19 | +11.6 | 77% |
12 vs UTEP | Nov 20 | proj 36–18 | +18.6 | 88% |
13 at New Mexico | Nov 28 | proj 19–35 | -15.9 | 16% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.