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San José St
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
3–3 · 120th of 138
Rated -15.7 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -1.8 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 5.4–7.6 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 5.6–7.4 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0697th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0646th of 138
Success rate36.6%128th of 138
Success allowed42.2%77th of 138
Explosiveness0.9285th of 138
Defensive havoc15.1%86th of 138
3rd down32.5%115th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.0073rd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at USC | Aug 29 | L 26–42 | -32.9 | — |
1 at E Michigan | Sep 4 | W 27–21 | -2.1 | — |
2 vs Cal Poly | Sep 12 | W 30–20 | +26.4 | — |
3 vs Fresno St | Sep 19 | L 10–26 | -8.4 | — |
5 at Hawai'i | Oct 3 | W 20–16 | -3.3 | — |
6 vs Wyoming | Oct 9 | L 13–16 | +6.4 | — |
7 at UTEP | Oct 17 | proj 28–24 | +4.2 | 60% |
8 at Nevada | Oct 24 | proj 20–27 | -7.0 | 33% |
9 vs New Mexico | Oct 31 | proj 17–36 | -18.9 | 12% |
10 vs N Illinois | Nov 7 | proj 24–21 | +3.4 | 59% |
11 at Air Force | Nov 14 | proj 19–31 | -11.6 | 23% |
12 vs UNLV | Nov 21 | proj 20–30 | -9.5 | 27% |
13 vs N Dakota St | Nov 27 | proj 16–29 | -12.5 | 21% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.