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Hawai'i
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
1–5 · 117th of 138
Rated -14.4 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -3.4 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 3.7–8.3 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 3.7–8.3 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.03115th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.22128th of 138
Success rate38.5%113th of 138
Success allowed47.6%132nd of 138
Explosiveness0.91115th of 138
Defensive havoc13.3%109th of 138
3rd down38.0%85th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.50104th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Stanford | Aug 29 | L 27–37 | -3.3 | — |
1 vs UNLV | Sep 5 | L 6–21 | -3.9 | — |
2 vs New Mexico St | Sep 12 | W 29–19 | +6.4 | — |
4 at Wyoming | Sep 26 | L 10–27 | +5.0 | — |
5 vs San José St | Oct 3 | L 16–20 | +3.3 | — |
6 at Arizona St | Oct 10 | L 12–30 | -21.9 | — |
7 vs New Mexico | Oct 17 | proj 17–34 | -17.6 | 13% |
8 at N Illinois | Oct 24 | proj 21–22 | -1.0 | 47% |
10 at UTEP | Nov 7 | proj 28–23 | +5.5 | 64% |
11 vs N Dakota St | Nov 14 | proj 16–27 | -11.2 | 24% |
12 at Nevada | Nov 21 | proj 20–26 | -5.7 | 36% |
13 vs Sacramento St | Nov 28 | proj 32–16 | +15.9 | 84% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.