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Stanford
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
2–4 · 109th of 138
Rated -11.8 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +1.1 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 3.8–8.2 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 3.6–8.4 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.05100th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.24135th of 138
Success rate37.2%125th of 138
Success allowed46.6%122nd of 138
Explosiveness0.90127th of 138
Defensive havoc11.1%131st of 138
3rd down32.1%117th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.3348th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Hawai'i | Aug 29 | W 37–27 | +3.3 | — |
1 vs Miami | Sep 4 | L 6–45 | -20.5 | — |
3 at Duke | Sep 19 | L 7–35 | -18.1 | — |
4 vs Georgia Tech | Sep 26 | W 34–27 | -6.6 | — |
5 at Wake Forest | Oct 3 | L 3–57 | -16.1 | — |
6 at Notre Dame | Oct 10 | L 7–58 | -40.7 | — |
7 vs Elon | Oct 17 | proj 44–14 | +29.7 | 97% |
8 vs NC State | Oct 23 | proj 24–34 | -11.0 | 24% |
9 at Louisville | Oct 31 | proj 16–42 | -26.4 | 5% |
11 at Virginia Tech | Nov 14 | proj 18–37 | -19.0 | 11% |
12 at California | Nov 21 | proj 21–32 | -11.0 | 24% |
13 vs SMU | Nov 28 | proj 20–36 | -15.7 | 16% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.