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Wake Forest
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
5–1 · 25th of 138
Rated +12.4 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +0.6 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 9.5–2.5 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 9.7–2.8 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.2019th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0639th of 138
Success rate45.2%32nd of 138
Success allowed42.3%78th of 138
Explosiveness0.9459th of 138
Defensive havoc14.4%95th of 138
3rd down47.3%29th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.1765th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Akron | Sep 3 | W 38–16 | +20.4 | — |
2 at Purdue | Sep 12 | W 38–36 | +7.8 | — |
3 vs Miami | Sep 18 | L 20–33 | -19.8 | — |
4 at Louisville | Sep 26 | W 30–27 | -13.2 | — |
5 vs Stanford | Oct 3 | W 57–3 | +16.1 | — |
6 at NC State | Oct 10 | W 38–14 | +3.0 | — |
7 at California | Oct 17 | proj 33–20 | +13.2 | 80% |
9 vs Virginia | Oct 31 | proj 31–20 | +10.7 | 75% |
10 vs Merrimack | Nov 7 | proj 61–3 | +58.6 | 100% |
11 at SMU | Nov 14 | proj 29–26 | +2.7 | 57% |
12 at Georgia Tech | Nov 21 | proj 31–23 | +7.6 | 68% |
13 vs Duke | Nov 28 | proj 31–23 | +7.7 | 69% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.