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Akron
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET

1–5 · 131st of 138
Rated -20.0 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -0.2 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 3.3–8.7 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 2.6–9.4 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0793rd of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.26138th of 138
Success rate40.0%94th of 138
Success allowed47.1%127th of 138
Explosiveness0.91107th of 138
Defensive havoc12.9%118th of 138
3rd down39.5%78th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.67117th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | L 16–38 | -20.4 | — |
| 2 | Sep 12 | W 45–10 | +18.5 | — |
| 3 | Sep 19 | L 7–41 | -19.9 | — |
| 4 | Sep 26 | L 10–38 | -11.5 | — |
| 5 | Oct 3 | L 17–41 | -2.2 | — |
| 6 | Oct 10 | L 23–25 | -0.4 | — |
| 7 | Oct 17 | proj 19–32 | -12.6 | 21% |
| 8 | Oct 24 | proj 26–25 | +1.2 | 53% |
| 10 | Nov 3 | proj 21–30 | -9.2 | 28% |
| 11 | Nov 10 | proj 19–28 | -9.9 | 27% |
| 12 | Nov 18 | proj 23–27 | -3.7 | 41% |
| 13 | Nov 27 | proj 27–23 | +4.0 | 60% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.