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Akron

Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET

1–5 · 131st of 138
Rated -20.0 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -0.2 vs the average game

Projected Record

SourceW–LHow
GordStats3.3–8.7Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left
ESPN FPI2.6–9.4ESPN's simulation of the full schedule

Advanced

Offense EPA/play+0.0793rd of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.26138th of 138
Success rate40.0%94th of 138
Success allowed47.1%127th of 138
Explosiveness0.91107th of 138
Defensive havoc12.9%118th of 138
3rd down39.5%78th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.67117th of 138

Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.

Schedule

OpponentDateResultExpectedWin
1at Wake ForestSep 3L 16–38-20.4—
2vs Robert MorrisSep 12W 45–10+18.5—
3at MinnesotaSep 19L 7–41-19.9—
4vs UNLVSep 26L 10–38-11.5—
5at C MichiganOct 3L 17–41-2.2—
6vs E MichiganOct 10L 23–25-0.4—
7at Miami OHOct 17proj 19–32-12.621%
8at Kent StateOct 24proj 26–25+1.253%
10vs OhioNov 3proj 21–30-9.228%
11vs W MichiganNov 10proj 19–28-9.927%
12at UMassNov 18proj 23–27-3.741%
13vs BuffaloNov 27proj 27–23+4.060%

Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.