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Miami OH

Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET

3–3 · 103rd of 138
Rated -10.3 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -1.9 vs the average game

Projected Record

SourceW–LHow
GordStats6.8–5.2Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left
ESPN FPI6.6–5.5ESPN's simulation of the full schedule

Advanced

Offense EPA/play+0.1162nd of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.17114th of 138
Success rate37.1%127th of 138
Success allowed45.9%118th of 138
Explosiveness0.9454th of 138
Defensive havoc12.5%124th of 138
3rd down35.7%104th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.0069th of 138

Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.

Schedule

OpponentDateResultExpectedWin
1at PittSep 5L 14–59-15.7—
2vs Holy CrossSep 12W 45–7+26.9—
3at CincinnatiSep 19L 31–35-20.4—
4vs UConnSep 26W 24–21-4.0—
5vs Bowling GreenOct 3L 20–24+18.1—
6at UMassOct 10W 20–19+6.4—
7vs AkronOct 17proj 32–19+12.679%
8at C MichiganOct 24proj 25–21+3.559%
10vs BuffaloNov 3proj 31–17+13.781%
11vs OhioNov 10proj 25–24+0.551%
12at Kent StateNov 17proj 30–19+10.976%
13at W MichiganNov 24proj 20–26-5.935%

Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.