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Kent State
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET

2–4 · 136th of 138
Rated -24.1 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -1.5 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 3.8–8.2 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 4.0–8.0 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play-0.03132nd of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.19122nd of 138
Success rate33.8%134th of 138
Success allowed46.2%121st of 138
Explosiveness0.9371st of 138
Defensive havoc14.1%100th of 138
3rd down37.0%95th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.67119th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | L 0–57 | -32.5 | — |
| 2 | Sep 12 | W 36–15 | +10.4 | — |
| 3 | Sep 19 | L 3–59 | -56.3 | — |
| 4 | Sep 26 | W 26–13 | +0.9 | — |
| 5 | Oct 3 | L 10–13 | -14.0 | — |
| 6 | Oct 10 | L 7–38 | -17.8 | — |
| 7 | Oct 17 | proj 12–39 | -26.6 | 5% |
| 8 | Oct 24 | proj 25–26 | -1.2 | 47% |
| 9 | Oct 30 | proj 26–25 | +0.3 | 51% |
| 11 | Nov 10 | proj 19–27 | -8.4 | 30% |
| 12 | Nov 17 | proj 19–30 | -10.9 | 24% |
| 13 | Nov 24 | proj 20–30 | -10.3 | 26% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.