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Bowling Green
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
2–4 · 128th of 138
Rated -18.6 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -5.0 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 4.8–7.2 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 4.5–7.6 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.03112th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1387th of 138
Success rate38.7%108th of 138
Success allowed45.5%112th of 138
Explosiveness0.9377th of 138
Defensive havoc13.6%105th of 138
3rd down35.6%106th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.1777th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Tarleton St | Sep 5 | L 13–20 | +24.3 | — |
2 at Nebraska | Sep 12 | L 7–56 | -28.9 | — |
3 at Iowa State | Sep 19 | L 7–55 | -31.4 | — |
4 vs South Florida | Sep 26 | L 6–14 | -27.2 | — |
5 at Miami OH | Oct 3 | W 24–20 | -18.1 | — |
6 vs Sacramento St | Oct 10 | W 38–10 | +6.8 | — |
7 vs Ball State | Oct 17 | proj 28–21 | +7.1 | 67% |
8 at Buffalo | Oct 24 | proj 22–23 | -0.4 | 49% |
9 at W Michigan | Oct 31 | proj 14–28 | -14.3 | 18% |
11 vs Kent State | Nov 10 | proj 27–19 | +8.4 | 70% |
12 at Toledo | Nov 20 | proj 16–33 | -17.3 | 14% |
13 vs UMass | Nov 28 | proj 24–21 | +3.5 | 59% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.