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Nebraska
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET

5–1 · 21st of 138
Rated +14.0 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +0.1 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.1–3.9 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.8–3.3 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.2111th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0638th of 138
Success rate47.2%17th of 138
Success allowed37.4%21st of 138
Explosiveness0.992nd of 138
Defensive havoc18.5%29th of 138
3rd down52.4%9th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.8324th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | W 49–21 | +11.1 | — |
| 2 | Sep 12 | W 56–7 | +28.9 | — |
| 3 | Sep 19 | W 34–7 | +46.8 | — |
| 4 | Sep 26 | W 31–13 | +1.2 | — |
| 5 | Oct 3 | W 48–23 | +15.3 | — |
| 6 | Oct 10 | L 17–20 | -11.0 | — |
| 7 | Oct 17 | proj 23–33 | -9.8 | 27% |
| 9 | Oct 31 | proj 32–19 | +12.3 | 78% |
| 10 | Nov 6 | proj 29–26 | +3.7 | 59% |
| 11 | Nov 14 | proj 37–21 | +16.4 | 85% |
| 12 | Nov 21 | proj 21–31 | -10.2 | 26% |
| 13 | Nov 27 | proj 21–27 | -6.8 | 33% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.