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Indiana
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
6–0 · 5th of 138
Rated +25.8 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -1.2 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 10.9–1.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 11.4–1.4 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.256th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0115th of 138
Success rate44.9%34th of 138
Success allowed34.0%4th of 138
Explosiveness0.9530th of 138
Defensive havoc19.1%25th of 138
3rd down45.3%39th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.5039th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs North Texas | Sep 5 | W 52–16 | +23.5 | — |
2 vs Howard | Sep 12 | W 55–0 | +67.4 | — |
3 vs Western KY | Sep 19 | W 38–0 | +45.1 | — |
4 vs Northwestern | Sep 25 | W 29–23 | +30.2 | — |
5 at Rutgers | Oct 3 | W 47–15 | +26.2 | — |
6 at Nebraska | Oct 10 | W 20–17 | +11.0 | — |
7 vs Ohio State | Oct 17 | proj 26–24 | +1.7 | 54% |
8 at Michigan | Oct 24 | proj 29–17 | +11.7 | 77% |
9 vs Minnesota | Oct 31 | proj 38–11 | +27.1 | 96% |
11 vs USC | Nov 14 | proj 36–21 | +15.3 | 83% |
12 at Washington | Nov 21 | proj 34–16 | +18.4 | 88% |
13 vs Purdue | Nov 28 | proj 41–14 | +26.8 | 95% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.