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USC
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
6–1 · 22nd of 138
Rated +13.3 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +5.5 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.2–3.8 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.4–3.6 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.255th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.15103rd of 138
Success rate49.4%4th of 138
Success allowed43.2%89th of 138
Explosiveness0.90124th of 138
Defensive havoc12.4%125th of 138
3rd down51.2%14th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.0071st of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs San José St | Aug 29 | W 42–26 | +32.9 | — |
1 vs Fresno St | Sep 4 | W 39–0 | +18.1 | — |
2 vs Louisiana | Sep 12 | W 49–30 | +27.7 | — |
3 at Rutgers | Sep 19 | W 42–35 | +18.2 | — |
4 vs Oregon | Sep 26 | L 27–41 | -2.7 | — |
5 vs Washington | Oct 3 | W 25–21 | +10.2 | — |
6 at Penn State | Oct 10 | W 31–23 | -2.1 | — |
8 at Wisconsin | Oct 24 | proj 27–24 | +2.5 | 56% |
9 vs Ohio State | Oct 31 | proj 23–34 | -10.8 | 25% |
11 at Indiana | Nov 14 | proj 21–36 | -15.3 | 17% |
12 vs Maryland | Nov 21 | proj 39–21 | +18.3 | 88% |
13 at UCLA | Nov 28 | proj 27–32 | -5.1 | 37% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.