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Rutgers
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
1–4 · 88th of 138
Rated -5.4 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +5.0 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 2.5–9.5 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 2.3–9.7 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.05103rd of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.20125th of 138
Success rate41.4%68th of 138
Success allowed46.6%124th of 138
Explosiveness0.91116th of 138
Defensive havoc12.3%126th of 138
3rd down36.7%96th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.80122nd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs UMass | Sep 3 | L 21–37 | +35.2 | — |
2 at Boston College | Sep 11 | L 21–28 | -6.6 | — |
3 vs USC | Sep 19 | L 35–42 | -18.2 | — |
4 vs Howard | Sep 25 | W 58–7 | +31.2 | — |
5 vs Indiana | Oct 3 | L 15–47 | -26.2 | — |
7 at Maryland | Oct 17 | proj 27–33 | -6.2 | 35% |
8 at Northwestern | Oct 24 | proj 17–37 | -19.5 | 11% |
9 vs Michigan | Oct 31 | proj 19–33 | -13.7 | 19% |
10 at Wisconsin | Nov 7 | proj 17–33 | -16.2 | 15% |
11 vs Nebraska | Nov 14 | proj 21–37 | -16.4 | 15% |
12 at Penn State | Nov 21 | proj 19–37 | -18.1 | 13% |
13 vs Michigan St | Nov 28 | proj 25–30 | -4.6 | 38% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.