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Northwestern
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
4–1 · 31st of 138
Rated +11.3 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -3.0 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.6–4.4 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.2–3.8 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.2110th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0857th of 138
Success rate49.0%7th of 138
Success allowed44.6%104th of 138
Explosiveness0.9441st of 138
Defensive havoc16.9%51st of 138
3rd down41.8%66th of 138
Turnover margin/g+1.208th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs S Dakota St | Sep 5 | W 34–18 | +37.1 | — |
3 vs Colorado | Sep 19 | W 41–7 | +1.8 | — |
4 at Indiana | Sep 25 | L 23–29 | -30.2 | — |
5 vs Penn State | Oct 2 | W 34–13 | -6.3 | — |
6 vs Ball State | Oct 10 | W 45–14 | +38.3 | — |
7 at Michigan St | Oct 17 | proj 27–21 | +6.2 | 65% |
8 vs Rutgers | Oct 24 | proj 37–17 | +19.5 | 89% |
9 at Oregon | Oct 31 | proj 20–32 | -12.5 | 21% |
10 vs Iowa | Nov 7 | proj 21–24 | -3.7 | 41% |
11 at Ohio State | Nov 14 | proj 15–34 | -18.6 | 12% |
12 at Minnesota | Nov 21 | proj 27–20 | +6.8 | 67% |
13 vs Illinois | Nov 28 | proj 29–23 | +6.8 | 67% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.