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Colorado
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
2–3 · 71st of 138
Rated -0.9 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -3.4 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 3.8–8.2 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 4.1–7.9 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play-0.02131st of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0114th of 138
Success rate40.2%90th of 138
Success allowed36.4%11th of 138
Explosiveness0.90132nd of 138
Defensive havoc20.7%13th of 138
3rd down35.6%105th of 138
Turnover margin/g-1.20133rd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Georgia Tech | Sep 3 | W 14–13 | -11.7 | — |
2 vs Weber St | Sep 12 | W 52–21 | +36.5 | — |
3 at Northwestern | Sep 19 | L 7–41 | -1.8 | — |
4 at Baylor | Sep 26 | L 13–23 | -13.0 | — |
5 vs Texas Tech | Oct 3 | L 7–29 | -16.5 | — |
7 vs Utah | Oct 17 | proj 16–36 | -19.6 | 11% |
8 at Oklahoma St | Oct 24 | proj 20–30 | -10.0 | 26% |
9 vs Kansas St | Oct 31 | proj 22–29 | -7.3 | 32% |
10 at Arizona St | Nov 7 | proj 21–29 | -8.2 | 30% |
11 vs Houston | Nov 13 | proj 18–32 | -14.8 | 18% |
12 at Cincinnati | Nov 21 | proj 21–30 | -9.1 | 28% |
13 vs UCF | Nov 28 | proj 22–26 | -4.8 | 38% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.