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Texas Tech
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
5–0 · 12th of 138
Rated +18.5 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +0.3 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 10.4–1.6 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 10.9–1.7 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1633rd of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0219th of 138
Success rate46.4%22nd of 138
Success allowed36.7%13th of 138
Explosiveness0.9365th of 138
Defensive havoc16.7%56th of 138
3rd down44.1%48th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.4042nd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Abilene Chrstn | Sep 5 | W 33–10 | +58.4 | — |
2 at Oregon St | Sep 12 | W 35–24 | +25.2 | — |
3 vs Houston | Sep 18 | W 28–26 | +13.0 | — |
4 vs Sam Houston | Sep 26 | W 49–14 | +31.8 | — |
5 at Colorado | Oct 3 | W 29–7 | +16.5 | — |
7 vs Arizona St | Oct 17 | proj 35–18 | +16.9 | 86% |
8 at Cincinnati | Oct 24 | proj 33–22 | +10.3 | 74% |
9 vs Arizona | Oct 31 | proj 31–23 | +7.4 | 68% |
10 vs West Virginia | Nov 7 | proj 41–19 | +22.3 | 92% |
11 at Oklahoma St | Nov 14 | proj 31–22 | +9.4 | 72% |
12 at Baylor | Nov 21 | proj 31–24 | +6.8 | 67% |
13 vs TCU | Nov 26 | proj 32–17 | +14.1 | 81% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.