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Houston
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
5–1 · 14th of 138
Rated +16.8 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +0.8 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 9.3–2.7 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 9.3–2.9 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.258th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1065th of 138
Success rate50.9%1st of 138
Success allowed40.0%40th of 138
Explosiveness0.88135th of 138
Defensive havoc19.9%19th of 138
3rd down62.7%1st of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.6732nd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Oregon St | Sep 5 | W 33–20 | +18.0 | — |
2 vs Southern | Sep 12 | W 77–6 | +38.5 | — |
3 at Texas Tech | Sep 18 | L 26–28 | -13.0 | — |
4 at GA Southern | Sep 26 | W 42–28 | +14.1 | — |
5 vs UCF | Oct 3 | W 27–17 | +7.8 | — |
6 at Kansas St | Oct 10 | W 35–16 | +0.6 | — |
7 vs Oklahoma St | Oct 17 | proj 34–20 | +13.4 | 80% |
8 at Utah | Oct 24 | proj 24–32 | -7.7 | 31% |
10 vs Cincinnati | Nov 7 | proj 35–21 | +14.4 | 82% |
11 at Colorado | Nov 13 | proj 32–18 | +14.8 | 82% |
12 at West Virginia | Nov 21 | proj 38–23 | +14.8 | 83% |
13 vs Baylor | Nov 28 | proj 33–22 | +10.8 | 75% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.