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Baylor
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–1 · 38th of 138
Rated +8.8 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +1.6 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.0–5.0 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 7.7–4.5 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1448th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0533rd of 138
Success rate40.2%87th of 138
Success allowed40.4%49th of 138
Explosiveness0.9442nd of 138
Defensive havoc20.3%15th of 138
3rd down43.2%55th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.4041st of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Auburn | Sep 5 | L 16–17 | -6.0 | — |
2 vs Prairie View | Sep 12 | W 44–3 | +39.8 | — |
3 vs Louisiana Tech | Sep 19 | W 36–19 | +8.4 | — |
4 vs Colorado | Sep 26 | W 23–13 | +13.0 | — |
5 at Arizona St | Oct 3 | W 55–19 | -4.6 | — |
7 vs TCU | Oct 17 | proj 27–23 | +4.4 | 61% |
8 at Kansas | Oct 24 | proj 26–29 | -3.3 | 42% |
9 at UCF | Oct 30 | proj 26–27 | -0.8 | 48% |
10 vs Iowa State | Nov 7 | proj 28–24 | +4.5 | 61% |
11 at BYU | Nov 14 | proj 21–30 | -8.9 | 29% |
12 vs Texas Tech | Nov 21 | proj 24–31 | -6.8 | 33% |
13 at Houston | Nov 28 | proj 22–33 | -10.8 | 25% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.