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Arizona St
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
3–2 · 56th of 138
Rated +4.5 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +0.9 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 5.6–6.4 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 4.9–7.1 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.00127th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1389th of 138
Success rate41.0%71st of 138
Success allowed41.0%62nd of 138
Explosiveness0.91119th of 138
Defensive havoc14.7%91st of 138
3rd down29.7%129th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.60114th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Morgan St | Sep 5 | W 70–7 | +40.6 | — |
2 at Texas A&M | Sep 12 | L 20–48 | -16.0 | — |
3 vs Kansas | Sep 19 | W 24–17 | +4.6 | — |
5 vs Baylor | Oct 3 | L 19–55 | +4.6 | — |
6 vs Hawai'i | Oct 10 | W 30–12 | +21.9 | — |
7 at Texas Tech | Oct 17 | proj 18–35 | -16.9 | 14% |
8 vs Kansas St | Oct 24 | proj 27–29 | -1.9 | 45% |
9 at BYU | Oct 31 | proj 18–32 | -13.3 | 20% |
10 vs Colorado | Nov 7 | proj 29–21 | +8.2 | 70% |
11 at UCF | Nov 14 | proj 24–29 | -5.2 | 37% |
12 vs Oklahoma St | Nov 21 | proj 28–27 | +1.1 | 53% |
13 at Arizona | Nov 28 | proj 21–33 | -12.4 | 22% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.