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BYU
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
5–0 · 19th of 138
Rated +14.9 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -3.2 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 9.0–3.0 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 9.5–2.9 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1728th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0218th of 138
Success rate45.2%31st of 138
Success allowed37.8%25th of 138
Explosiveness0.9523rd of 138
Defensive havoc20.2%17th of 138
3rd down54.4%7th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.8026th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Utah Tech | Sep 5 | W 63–7 | +49.2 | — |
2 vs Arizona | Sep 12 | W 28–17 | +12.0 | — |
3 at Colorado St | Sep 19 | W 41–23 | +21.3 | — |
5 at TCU | Oct 3 | W 17–10 | +5.2 | — |
6 vs Iowa State | Oct 9 | W 24–10 | +10.1 | — |
7 vs Notre Dame | Oct 17 | proj 21–31 | -10.1 | 26% |
8 at UCF | Oct 24 | proj 27–22 | +5.2 | 63% |
9 vs Arizona St | Oct 31 | proj 32–18 | +13.3 | 80% |
10 at Utah | Nov 7 | proj 21–31 | -9.6 | 27% |
11 vs Baylor | Nov 14 | proj 30–21 | +8.9 | 71% |
12 at Kansas | Nov 21 | proj 27–24 | +2.8 | 57% |
13 vs Cincinnati | Nov 28 | proj 32–20 | +12.5 | 78% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.