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Notre Dame
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
6–0 · 2nd of 138
Rated +27.9 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +3.4 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 11.2–0.8 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 11.3–0.7 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.263rd of 138
Defense EPA/play-0.016th of 138
Success rate50.8%3rd of 138
Success allowed35.1%8th of 138
Explosiveness0.91108th of 138
Defensive havoc22.8%3rd of 138
3rd down44.6%43rd of 138
Turnover margin/g+2.173rd of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Wisconsin | Sep 6 | W 41–13 | +25.2 | — |
2 vs Rice | Sep 12 | W 52–0 | +46.8 | — |
3 vs Michigan St | Sep 19 | W 27–10 | +31.3 | — |
4 at Purdue | Sep 26 | W 49–10 | +31.0 | — |
5 at North Carolina | Oct 3 | W 37–26 | +20.7 | — |
6 vs Stanford | Oct 10 | W 58–7 | +40.7 | — |
7 at BYU | Oct 17 | proj 31–21 | +10.1 | 74% |
9 vs Navy | Oct 31 | proj 43–12 | +30.9 | 97% |
10 vs Miami | Nov 7 | proj 32–26 | +5.6 | 64% |
11 vs Boston College | Nov 14 | proj 45–8 | +36.6 | 99% |
12 vs SMU | Nov 21 | proj 41–17 | +23.9 | 93% |
13 at Syracuse | Nov 28 | proj 42–16 | +26.0 | 95% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.