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Rice
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
1–5 · 115th of 138
Rated -13.5 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -4.3 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 2.7–9.3 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 2.6–9.4 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.02120th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1175th of 138
Success rate38.1%116th of 138
Success allowed40.7%54th of 138
Explosiveness0.9532nd of 138
Defensive havoc15.4%80th of 138
3rd down29.5%130th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.83127th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Hou Christian | Sep 5 | W 31–3 | +21.1 | — |
2 at Notre Dame | Sep 12 | L 0–52 | -46.8 | — |
3 vs W Michigan | Sep 19 | L 21–28 | -7.6 | — |
4 at Fresno St | Sep 26 | L 24–38 | -17.9 | — |
5 vs UTSA | Oct 3 | L 14–16 | -10.3 | — |
6 at East Carolina | Oct 10 | L 12–28 | -13.9 | — |
7 vs Tulsa | Oct 17 | proj 22–25 | -2.8 | 43% |
8 at FAU | Oct 24 | proj 24–32 | -8.0 | 31% |
10 at North Texas | Nov 7 | proj 20–41 | -21.3 | 9% |
11 vs Tulane | Nov 14 | proj 18–25 | -7.6 | 32% |
12 at Temple | Nov 19 | proj 20–28 | -8.5 | 29% |
13 vs Army | Nov 28 | proj 18–26 | -8.5 | 30% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.