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FAU
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–1 · 100th of 138
Rated -8.4 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +7.3 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.6–5.4 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.8–5.3 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1255th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.17115th of 138
Success rate43.3%48th of 138
Success allowed40.8%58th of 138
Explosiveness0.9456th of 138
Defensive havoc15.7%72nd of 138
3rd down50.0%20th of 138
Turnover margin/g+1.0014th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Florida | Sep 5 | L 21–66 | -20.4 | — |
2 vs Navy | Sep 12 | W 38–30 | -9.3 | — |
3 vs FIU | Sep 19 | W 16–10 | -1.4 | — |
4 at UL Monroe | Sep 26 | W 45–17 | +9.0 | — |
5 vs Texas Southern | Oct 3 | W 66–10 | +38.2 | — |
7 at Army | Oct 17 | proj 23–32 | -9.2 | 28% |
8 vs Rice | Oct 24 | proj 32–24 | +8.0 | 69% |
9 at North Texas | Oct 29 | proj 28–44 | -16.2 | 15% |
10 vs UTSA | Nov 5 | proj 30–34 | -4.2 | 40% |
11 at Tulsa | Nov 14 | proj 28–31 | -3.5 | 41% |
12 vs South Florida | Nov 21 | proj 27–32 | -5.1 | 37% |
13 at East Carolina | Nov 27 | proj 25–33 | -7.5 | 32% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.