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UTSA
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
5–1 · 74th of 138
Rated -1.3 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +3.4 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 8.5–3.5 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.9–3.5 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1635th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1066th of 138
Success rate42.7%52nd of 138
Success allowed40.3%46th of 138
Explosiveness0.9368th of 138
Defensive havoc12.7%121st of 138
3rd down37.0%94th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.6729th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs UT Rio Grande | Sep 5 | W 45–16 | +35.6 | — |
2 at Texas St | Sep 12 | W 31–26 | +1.9 | — |
3 at Texas | Sep 19 | L 6–30 | -26.7 | — |
4 vs Colorado St | Sep 26 | W 59–45 | +14.2 | — |
5 at Rice | Oct 3 | W 16–14 | +10.3 | — |
6 vs South Florida | Oct 8 | W 31–24 | +0.0 | — |
7 vs Navy | Oct 17 | proj 30–25 | +4.9 | 62% |
8 at Tulane | Oct 24 | proj 25–26 | -1.2 | 47% |
10 at FAU | Nov 5 | proj 34–30 | +4.2 | 60% |
11 vs North Texas | Nov 14 | proj 32–36 | -3.4 | 41% |
12 at UAB | Nov 21 | proj 32–23 | +8.9 | 71% |
13 vs Tulsa | Nov 28 | proj 32–23 | +9.4 | 72% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.