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Colorado St
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
2–4 · 121st of 138
Rated -16.1 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +10.2 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 3.1–7.9 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 3.5–8.5 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1543rd of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.19121st of 138
Success rate43.3%47th of 138
Success allowed50.5%138th of 138
Explosiveness0.9533rd of 138
Defensive havoc13.4%108th of 138
3rd down43.5%52nd of 138
Turnover margin/g+1.336th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Wyoming | Sep 5 | W 35–13 | +0.2 | — |
2 vs Southern Utah | Sep 12 | W 58–24 | +25.5 | — |
3 vs BYU | Sep 19 | L 23–41 | -21.3 | — |
4 at UTSA | Sep 26 | L 45–59 | -14.2 | — |
5 vs Oregon St | Oct 3 | L 26–56 | -7.1 | — |
7 at Texas St | Oct 15 | L 27–66 | -15.0 | — |
8 vs San Diego St | Oct 24 | proj 29–31 | -2.2 | 44% |
9 at Utah State | Oct 31 | proj 23–36 | -12.6 | 21% |
10 vs Boise St | Nov 7 | proj 22–43 | -21.2 | 9% |
11 at Washington St | Nov 14 | proj 21–35 | -13.2 | 20% |
12 at Fresno St | Nov 21 | proj 22–39 | -17.0 | 14% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.