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Fresno St
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
4–2 · 76th of 138
Rated -2.0 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -2.6 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.8–4.2 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.1–4.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1349th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0537th of 138
Success rate39.9%96th of 138
Success allowed42.7%86th of 138
Explosiveness0.9528th of 138
Defensive havoc14.6%94th of 138
3rd down37.1%93rd of 138
Turnover margin/g+1.337th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at USC | Sep 4 | L 0–39 | -18.1 | — |
2 vs Sacramento St | Sep 12 | W 49–3 | +2.8 | — |
3 at San José St | Sep 19 | W 26–10 | +8.4 | — |
4 vs Rice | Sep 26 | W 38–24 | +17.9 | — |
5 at Washington St | Oct 3 | W 26–6 | -5.9 | — |
6 vs Boise St | Oct 10 | L 31–38 | -8.3 | — |
7 at San Diego St | Oct 17 | proj 27–21 | +6.1 | 65% |
9 vs Oregon St | Oct 31 | proj 24–29 | -4.6 | 39% |
10 at Utah State | Nov 7 | proj 24–23 | +1.5 | 54% |
11 at Texas St | Nov 14 | proj 27–33 | -5.7 | 36% |
12 vs Colorado St | Nov 21 | proj 39–22 | +17.0 | 86% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.