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Sacramento St
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
1–5 · 138th of 138
Rated -27.3 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -0.3 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 2.4–9.6 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 2.0–10.0 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play-0.04133rd of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.16111th of 138
Success rate39.5%101st of 138
Success allowed41.6%68th of 138
Explosiveness0.88137th of 138
Defensive havoc11.3%130th of 138
3rd down34.9%109th of 138
Turnover margin/g-1.50136th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at E Michigan | Aug 29 | L 17–28 | +1.4 | — |
1 vs Miss Valley St | Sep 5 | W 52–0 | +17.7 | — |
2 at Fresno St | Sep 12 | L 3–49 | -2.8 | — |
3 vs N Dakota St | Sep 19 | L 10–31 | -19.1 | — |
4 vs UMass | Sep 26 | L 6–35 | +8.2 | — |
6 at Bowling Green | Oct 10 | L 10–38 | -6.8 | — |
7 vs Ohio | Oct 17 | proj 17–34 | -16.5 | 15% |
8 at Ball State | Oct 24 | proj 23–30 | -7.4 | 32% |
9 vs Kent State | Oct 30 | proj 25–26 | -0.3 | 49% |
10 vs Toledo | Nov 4 | proj 17–37 | -20.3 | 10% |
11 at C Michigan | Nov 11 | proj 17–31 | -13.5 | 20% |
13 at Hawai'i | Nov 28 | proj 16–32 | -15.9 | 16% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.