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C Michigan
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
3–3 · 125th of 138
Rated -16.7 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -4.3 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.2–5.8 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.1–5.9 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0881st of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1497th of 138
Success rate38.9%103rd of 138
Success allowed46.0%120th of 138
Explosiveness0.9711th of 138
Defensive havoc14.7%90th of 138
3rd down36.4%98th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.1761st of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at New Mexico | Sep 5 | L 7–38 | -11.4 | — |
2 vs Colgate | Sep 12 | W 13–10 | +23.0 | — |
3 vs Wyoming | Sep 19 | W 24–10 | +3.4 | — |
4 at Miami | Sep 26 | L 3–52 | -43.5 | — |
5 vs Akron | Oct 3 | W 41–17 | +2.2 | — |
6 at Ohio | Oct 10 | L 14–31 | -9.3 | — |
7 vs W Michigan | Oct 17 | proj 18–25 | -6.6 | 34% |
8 vs Miami OH | Oct 24 | proj 21–25 | -3.5 | 41% |
10 vs E Michigan | Nov 4 | proj 23–24 | -0.4 | 49% |
11 vs Sacramento St | Nov 11 | proj 31–17 | +13.5 | 80% |
12 at Buffalo | Nov 18 | proj 24–22 | +1.5 | 54% |
13 at Ball State | Nov 28 | proj 26–23 | +3.2 | 58% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.