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Miami
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET

5–0 · 6th of 138
Rated +25.1 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +1.7 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 10.8–1.2 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 11.7–1.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.257th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0222nd of 138
Success rate48.5%8th of 138
Success allowed38.2%28th of 138
Explosiveness0.9287th of 138
Defensive havoc15.8%70th of 138
3rd down51.1%15th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.6035th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | W 45–6 | +20.5 | — |
| 2 | Sep 10 | W 77–7 | +59.7 | — |
| 3 | Sep 18 | W 33–20 | +19.8 | — |
| 4 | Sep 26 | W 52–3 | +43.5 | — |
| 5 | Oct 3 | W 41–13 | +16.3 | — |
| 7 | Oct 17 | proj 38–17 | +21.1 | 91% |
| 8 | Oct 24 | proj 36–19 | +16.9 | 86% |
| 9 | Oct 31 | proj 34–15 | +18.4 | 88% |
| 10 | Nov 7 | proj 26–32 | -5.6 | 36% |
| 11 | Nov 14 | proj 38–17 | +20.5 | 90% |
| 12 | Nov 21 | proj 40–16 | +23.7 | 93% |
| 13 | Nov 28 | proj 43–9 | +33.9 | 98% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.