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Florida St
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
3–3 · 45th of 138
Rated +6.9 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +0.2 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.0–6.0 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.0–6.0 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.1632nd of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.16109th of 138
Success rate44.7%38th of 138
Success allowed42.0%74th of 138
Explosiveness0.9526th of 138
Defensive havoc15.9%69th of 138
3rd down42.3%61st of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.50107th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs New Mexico St | Aug 29 | W 34–17 | +26.8 | — |
1 vs SMU | Sep 7 | L 24–27 | -2.4 | — |
3 at Alabama | Sep 19 | L 36–50 | -19.7 | — |
4 vs C Arkansas | Sep 26 | W 34–7 | +45.1 | — |
5 vs Virginia | Oct 3 | W 38–7 | -0.9 | — |
6 at Louisville | Oct 9 | L 20–44 | -3.1 | — |
7 at Miami | Oct 17 | proj 17–38 | -21.1 | 9% |
9 vs Clemson | Oct 31 | proj 28–22 | +6.4 | 66% |
10 at Boston College | Nov 7 | proj 29–19 | +10.0 | 74% |
11 at Pitt | Nov 13 | proj 23–30 | -7.0 | 33% |
12 vs NC State | Nov 21 | proj 32–25 | +7.8 | 69% |
13 vs Florida | Nov 27 | proj 28–30 | -1.8 | 45% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.