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Virginia
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–2 · 54th of 138
Rated +4.6 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -1.9 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 6.9–5.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 6.8–5.3 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.0886th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1169th of 138
Success rate38.9%104th of 138
Success allowed40.3%47th of 138
Explosiveness0.9289th of 138
Defensive havoc17.3%42nd of 138
3rd down33.3%113th of 138
Turnover margin/g+1.0017th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs NC State | Aug 29 | W 34–8 | +5.5 | — |
2 vs Norfolk St | Sep 11 | W 59–3 | +45.2 | — |
3 vs West Virginia | Sep 19 | L 27–38 | +13.1 | — |
4 vs Delaware | Sep 26 | W 42–3 | +19.3 | — |
5 at Florida St | Oct 3 | L 7–38 | +0.9 | — |
6 vs Syracuse | Oct 10 | W 28–25 | +9.9 | — |
7 at SMU | Oct 17 | proj 24–29 | -5.1 | 37% |
8 vs Duke | Oct 23 | proj 26–26 | -0.1 | 50% |
9 at Wake Forest | Oct 31 | proj 20–31 | -10.7 | 25% |
11 vs California | Nov 14 | proj 30–19 | +11.1 | 76% |
12 vs North Carolina | Nov 21 | proj 25–21 | +3.7 | 59% |
13 at Virginia Tech | Nov 28 | proj 25–28 | -2.6 | 43% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.