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California
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
3–3 · 82nd of 138
Rated -3.7 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -0.8 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 4.9–7.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 4.9–7.1 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.01122nd of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1172nd of 138
Success rate37.9%117th of 138
Success allowed39.4%31st of 138
Explosiveness0.9374th of 138
Defensive havoc14.2%97th of 138
3rd down37.5%88th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.1760th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs UCLA | Sep 5 | L 24–45 | +5.2 | — |
2 at Syracuse | Sep 12 | W 21–18 | -7.4 | — |
3 vs Wagner | Sep 19 | W 49–7 | +34.6 | — |
4 vs Clemson | Sep 25 | L 10–24 | -2.8 | — |
5 at UNLV | Oct 3 | L 31–39 | -6.1 | — |
6 vs Virginia Tech | Oct 10 | W 25–20 | -6.9 | — |
7 vs Wake Forest | Oct 17 | proj 20–33 | -13.2 | 20% |
8 at SMU | Oct 24 | proj 20–34 | -13.3 | 20% |
9 at NC State | Oct 31 | proj 24–32 | -8.6 | 29% |
11 at Virginia | Nov 14 | proj 19–30 | -11.1 | 24% |
12 vs Stanford | Nov 21 | proj 32–21 | +11.0 | 76% |
13 vs Pitt | Nov 28 | proj 20–32 | -11.9 | 23% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.