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UNLV
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
4–2 · 80th of 138
Rated -3.3 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -0.5 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 7.9–4.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 8.2–4.3 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.05101st of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0532nd of 138
Success rate36.5%129th of 138
Success allowed39.8%38th of 138
Explosiveness0.9449th of 138
Defensive havoc16.9%50th of 138
3rd down37.4%90th of 138
Turnover margin/g+0.3349th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Memphis | Aug 29 | L 21–27 | +0.2 | — |
1 at Hawai'i | Sep 5 | W 21–6 | +3.9 | — |
2 at North Texas | Sep 12 | L 6–44 | -7.4 | — |
4 at Akron | Sep 26 | W 38–10 | +11.5 | — |
5 vs California | Oct 3 | W 39–31 | +6.1 | — |
6 vs N Dakota St | Oct 10 | W 13–7 | -0.2 | — |
7 at Air Force | Oct 17 | proj 26–25 | +0.8 | 52% |
9 vs N Illinois | Oct 31 | proj 31–15 | +15.8 | 84% |
10 vs Wyoming | Nov 7 | proj 29–12 | +16.8 | 86% |
11 at New Mexico | Nov 14 | proj 21–33 | -12.3 | 22% |
12 at San José St | Nov 21 | proj 30–20 | +9.5 | 73% |
13 vs Nevada | Nov 28 | proj 30–19 | +11.1 | 76% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.