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Memphis
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
5–1 · 59th of 138
Rated +3.5 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +3.8 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 9.0–3.0 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 9.8–2.8 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.2116th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.0852nd of 138
Success rate45.5%28th of 138
Success allowed41.3%66th of 138
Explosiveness0.9370th of 138
Defensive havoc16.6%58th of 138
3rd down49.3%22nd of 138
Turnover margin/g+1.0018th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at UNLV | Aug 29 | W 27–21 | -0.2 | — |
1 vs Arkansas St | Sep 5 | W 42–24 | +20.7 | — |
2 at Boise St | Sep 12 | L 20–38 | -6.1 | — |
3 vs UT Martin | Sep 19 | W 45–21 | +40.2 | — |
5 at Charlotte | Oct 3 | W 59–8 | +18.5 | — |
6 vs UAB | Oct 10 | W 38–13 | +20.7 | — |
7 at Tulane | Oct 16 | proj 27–24 | +3.7 | 59% |
8 vs East Carolina | Oct 22 | proj 32–22 | +10.2 | 74% |
9 vs Army | Oct 31 | proj 30–22 | +8.5 | 71% |
11 at South Florida | Nov 12 | proj 29–28 | +1.1 | 53% |
12 at Navy | Nov 21 | proj 30–26 | +4.0 | 60% |
13 vs Temple | Nov 27 | proj 35–21 | +14.3 | 82% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.