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Tulane
Updated Fri, Oct 16 · 11:33 AM ET
2–3 · 79th of 138
Rated -3.1 points vs an average FBS team · scoring -5.6 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 5.9–6.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 5.9–6.2 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.05106th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.1385th of 138
Success rate33.1%135th of 138
Success allowed40.8%57th of 138
Explosiveness0.993rd of 138
Defensive havoc10.6%135th of 138
3rd down39.4%80th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.4098th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 at Duke | Sep 5 | L 3–17 | -2.3 | — |
2 vs South Alabama | Sep 12 | W 28–24 | +17.4 | — |
3 at Kansas St | Sep 19 | L 20–31 | -13.9 | — |
4 vs Southern Miss | Sep 26 | W 24–21 | +20.2 | — |
6 at Army | Oct 10 | L 17–20 | -3.3 | — |
7 vs Memphis | Oct 16 | proj 24–27 | -3.7 | 41% |
8 vs UTSA | Oct 24 | proj 26–25 | +1.2 | 53% |
9 at Charlotte | Oct 30 | proj 34–14 | +20.2 | 90% |
10 vs Tulsa | Nov 7 | proj 27–19 | +7.7 | 69% |
11 at Rice | Nov 14 | proj 25–18 | +7.6 | 68% |
12 vs North Texas | Nov 21 | proj 27–32 | -5.1 | 37% |
13 at South Florida | Nov 27 | proj 21–26 | -5.5 | 36% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.