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Southern Miss
Updated Thu, Oct 15 · 11:35 PM ET
1–4 · 113th of 138
Rated -12.7 points vs an average FBS team · scoring +3.8 vs the average game
Projected Record
| Source | W–L | How |
|---|---|---|
| GordStats | 3.9–8.1 | Results so far plus this model's win chance in each game left |
| ESPN FPI | 3.7–8.3 | ESPN's simulation of the full schedule |
Advanced
Offense EPA/play+0.05107th of 138
Defense EPA/play+0.22129th of 138
Success rate39.6%100th of 138
Success allowed48.6%135th of 138
Explosiveness0.91110th of 138
Defensive havoc11.6%129th of 138
3rd down32.3%116th of 138
Turnover margin/g-0.2086th of 138
Opponent-adjusted where it can be; every team, every figure, on Team Stats.
Schedule
| Opponent | Date | Result | Expected | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 vs Alcorn St | Sep 5 | W 49–3 | +22.9 | — |
2 at Auburn | Sep 12 | L 8–43 | -20.4 | — |
3 vs UConn | Sep 19 | L 20–48 | -2.8 | — |
4 at Tulane | Sep 26 | L 21–24 | -20.2 | — |
6 at Troy | Oct 6 | L 34–55 | -3.9 | — |
7 vs Arkansas St | Oct 17 | proj 29–28 | +0.9 | 52% |
8 vs Louisiana | Oct 24 | proj 26–29 | -3.6 | 41% |
9 at UL Monroe | Oct 31 | proj 33–25 | +8.5 | 70% |
10 vs James Madison | Nov 5 | proj 20–39 | -19.1 | 11% |
11 at Louisiana Tech | Nov 14 | proj 24–36 | -11.8 | 23% |
12 vs South Alabama | Nov 21 | proj 33–33 | -0.3 | 49% |
13 at Old Dominion | Nov 28 | proj 24–28 | -3.7 | 41% |
Games without a final yet show this model's projected score, tagged proj. Expected is this model's margin from this team's side - for a finished game, the one on record before kickoff, so a result can be read against what was expected of it. Win is the chance of winning an upcoming game. How well any of this has worked is on the predictions page.